trade

Can the UK recover from Covid-19?

– UK Q1 GDP figures expected to be catastrophic. Expect UK exports to have fallen back by up to one fifth in Q1. – Trade will not be the same after the COVID-19 Pandemic. – UK is now in strategic competition between blocs of interest – Russian, Chinese, American and European- Alongside weakening international governance The Q1 GDP figures this week will be to the economists what the daily Covid 19 death rate statistics have beeen to the medical profession.…

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Three reasons why trade will never be the same again

Remember January 2020? We thought the trade war had turned into a truce. We had mildly positive expectations for global economic growth based on IMF forecasts. We thought financial markets would continue their bull run with the only risks the same as those evident throughout the period since the Global Financial Crisis: US dollar denominated debt in emerging markets, the strength of the US dollar, the sustained effects of extraordinary monetary policy and the speed at which  trade and growth…

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The realpolitik of post-Brexit trade with the EU

Dr. Rebecca Harding CEO Coriolis Technologies Boris Johnson’s post-Brexit approach to the UK’s relationship with the EU had its first airing on Monday. He excluded the possibility of regulatory alignment or level playing fields and instead laid out a vision for the UK based on its right to set its own standards, trade in its own way with whomever it likes, and control its own borders. His government, and specifically the foreign secretary Dominic Raab, is already urging a zero…

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Who cares about trade? Why the UK election suggests no-one does

Dr. Rebecca Harding CEO Coriolis Technologies By rights, the upcoming UK election should be an election about trade. “It’s the economy, stupid” was the message that won Bill Clinton the US presidency during the then-prevailing recession. And if economics matters to the British voting public, then this should be the one that counts. Economists are queuing up to say how much lower growth is now compared to where it would have been had the UK not voted to leave the…

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Choose your weapon: why the G20 foreign ministers will be talking about trade

Dr. Rebecca Harding CEO, Coriolis Technologies  18th November 2019   The G20 foreign ministers will do well to brush up on game theory ahead of their meeting in Japan on 22nd November. Trade is now viewed as an integral part of national security: China and the US, and Russia, are using it as means to coerce, influence and dominate as they always have, but increasingly with a strategic focus. It has become the weapon of choice in a power struggle…

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