Competing Oil Interests and the Strategic Challenge of the Eastern Mediterranean

Jack Harding Head of Political Risk   On Wednesday this week (20th March), US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo is scheduled to visit Jerusalem as part of a trip that will also include visits to Lebanon and Kuwait. While in Israel, Pompeo will hold talks with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu as well as Cypriot and Greek leaders, Nicos Anastasiades and Alex Tsipras.   Pompeo’s visit has attracted criticism that the US is attempting to influence…

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Losing interest? Why the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee meeting on the 21st March still matters

Rebecca Harding CEO Coriolis Technologies The UK’s political turmoil will overshadow the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting this week; EU leaders will be meeting to discuss the UK parliament’s request to extend Brexit beyond 29th March and there is little doubt that this will grab headlines instead. Subject to the outcome of the EU leaders’ meeting, a no-deal Brexit looks unlikely; in consequence, the disaster scenario planning by the Bank may well be…

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Brexit: The Potential Impact of No-Deal on Defence Budgets

Jack Harding  Head of Political Risk This week will define the economic and political future of the United Kingdom. On 12 March, MPs will gather in Westminster to vote on Theresa May’s Brexit deal. If it is accepted, then the UK will leave the EU on 29 March as planned. However, if it is rejected (and rumours suggest that this might be the case) then MPs will reconvene on 13 March to decide whether the…

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Beware the Ides of March: reasons why the final Brexit countdown may not start just yet

Dr. Rebecca Harding CEO, Coriolis Technologies Another week, another set of deadlines. The Governor of the Bank of England, Mark Carney’s, “Fog of Brexit” is unlikely to clear in the week ahead. On Tuesday there should be another meaningful vote in the House of Commons on Theresa May’s Brexit deal. There is every likelihood that she will be defeated, if the vote goes ahead. If this happens, there will be a vote on the 13th…

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The North Korea – United States Summit: why ‘no deal’ on denuclearisation is a win for China

Jack Harding, Head of Political Risk On Thursday last week, Donald Trump and Kim Jong Un met in Hanoi, Vietnam, for their second summit on the denuclearisation of North Korea and the possible lifting of international sanctions. In the morning, hopes on both sides of the negotiating table for striking a deal appeared to be high; Kim Jong Un even fielded his first ever question from a foreign journalist who asked about his mood going…

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