In the current global environment, the role of trade has transformed from that of a benign tool of economic growth and development to a means for states to coerce, build strategic potential, and gain influence.
At Coriolis Technologies, we have observed the growing role of trade in so-called grey-zone conflict. Using our trade-based model, our inaugural 16 page Political Risk Outlook, authored by Jack Harding, head of political risk, presents a picture of the top five risks in 2020. Each has substantial potential to escalate into broader conflict, and each illustrates how important trade data is for understanding political risk.
Below is a small sample of the report